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  3. Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

Geplant Angeheftet Gesperrt Verschoben Uncategorized
machinelearningllmresearch
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  • devsimsek@universeodon.comD devsimsek@universeodon.com

    Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

    Not "we think it's unlikely." Not "it seems hard." Formally proved.

    The model doesn't climb toward AGI — it slowly forgets what reality looks like. They call it model collapse. The math calls it inevitable.
    I wrote about it 👇

    https://smsk.dev/2026/04/26/ai-cannot-self-improve-and-math-behind-proves-it/

    #AI #MachineLearning #LLM #Research

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    #97

    @devsimsek

    Interesting article about how AI cannot grow into a super intelligence because the more systems grow, the more they rely on information generated by themselves and the more ....

    'it forgets what reality looks like'.

    #AI #AGI #RSI
    (RSI = Recursive Self-Improvement)
    https://smsk.dev/2026/04/26/ai-cannot-self-improve-and-math-behind-proves-it/

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      @Quantensalat @devsimsek Yes.

      They have also never had a machine crash because a recursive operation overran the stack or used up all the memory.

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      #98

      @drwho

      You forgot the '/s' indicator 😉.

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      • devsimsek@universeodon.comD devsimsek@universeodon.com

        Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

        Not "we think it's unlikely." Not "it seems hard." Formally proved.

        The model doesn't climb toward AGI — it slowly forgets what reality looks like. They call it model collapse. The math calls it inevitable.
        I wrote about it 👇

        https://smsk.dev/2026/04/26/ai-cannot-self-improve-and-math-behind-proves-it/

        #AI #MachineLearning #LLM #Research

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        #99

        @devsimsek

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          @resuna

          Everything in your post was wrong - so why did you post it?

          @devsimsek

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          #100

          @troed @devsimsek

          Large language models are fundamentally different from mammals on every level. They do not build models or reason about them. A rat is more "intelligent".

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            @troed @devsimsek

            Large language models are fundamentally different from mammals on every level. They do not build models or reason about them. A rat is more "intelligent".

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            #101

            @resuna

            How much have you studied human cognition - as well as the emergent effects shown by LLMs?

            I've studied both. So far I haven't come upon a single anti-AI fanatic that has any.

            @devsimsek

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              @wronglang @devsimsek Yes, sure. I mean I can imagine it improving somewhat still, like when you augment your training set for image recognition by adding noise to a smaller set, but only to a point before it goes downhill from feedback.

              No, my gut feeling is rather that there have to be much more effective ways to train a model than to brute force funnel billions of pages of text to a transformer which blindly fits relations between words and structures without understanding them, that seems like doing it the hard way, even if I'm not expert enough to tell you what an alternative would look like

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              #102

              @Quantensalat @devsimsek oh gotcha, yes agreed.

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                @resuna

                Everything in your post was wrong - so why did you post it?

                @devsimsek

                devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                devsimsek@universeodon.com
                schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                #103

                @troed Just to make you angry.

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                • ? Gast

                  @devsimsek I'd be interested to see the same analysis of human consciousness. It is well understood that complexity is a regime on the absolute edge of chaos.

                  devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                  devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                  devsimsek@universeodon.com
                  schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                  #104

                  @onekind I would be interested in this as well.

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                    @Quantensalat @devsimsek For something more formal on this subject see

                    https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.03220

                    The abstract starts "Can we learn more from data than existed in the generating process itself?"

                    devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                    devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                    devsimsek@universeodon.com
                    schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                    #105

                    @dpiponi @Quantensalat Thanks, will check.

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                      @resuna

                      How much have you studied human cognition - as well as the emergent effects shown by LLMs?

                      I've studied both. So far I haven't come upon a single anti-AI fanatic that has any.

                      @devsimsek

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                      #106

                      @troed @devsimsek

                      Most human cognition is common to all mammals, even most of the frontal lobe is pre-linguistic. LLMs are ONLY linguistic. They are a clever hack repurposing a 1950s ERA model of how the visual cortex works to simulate the barest parody of linguistic processing. At the best you can say that they are implemented on something like a similar kind of processor, but the software, the neural connections and weights, is completely unrelated.

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                        @troed @devsimsek

                        Most human cognition is common to all mammals, even most of the frontal lobe is pre-linguistic. LLMs are ONLY linguistic. They are a clever hack repurposing a 1950s ERA model of how the visual cortex works to simulate the barest parody of linguistic processing. At the best you can say that they are implemented on something like a similar kind of processor, but the software, the neural connections and weights, is completely unrelated.

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                        #107

                        @troed @devsimsek you might as well argue that a large language model and an operating system is the same thing because they're both running on Intel processors.

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                          @troed @devsimsek

                          Most human cognition is common to all mammals, even most of the frontal lobe is pre-linguistic. LLMs are ONLY linguistic. They are a clever hack repurposing a 1950s ERA model of how the visual cortex works to simulate the barest parody of linguistic processing. At the best you can say that they are implemented on something like a similar kind of processor, but the software, the neural connections and weights, is completely unrelated.

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                          #108

                          @resuna

                          Yeah, so why do you think it's relevant that some brain processing starts to form before we acquire language? Most people vocalize their thoughts, even though you might not (and I don't always either). All our intellectual skills are acquired through language.

                          What an LLM is, is a "thinking engine". That's what the training creates. That "thinking" can then be applied to different subjects, with a rudimentary form of working memory.

                          The big surprise to those developing LLMs was that the technology suddenly created emergent effects not foreseen from their basic architecture - the ability to _reason_ and _create world models_. If you're still in 2022 and don't think that this is what they do then maybe you need to get off the "stochastic parrot" bandwagon and update your own knowledge?

                          After all - humans don't do anything but map inputs to outputs through neural networks either.

                          @devsimsek

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                            @resuna

                            Yeah, so why do you think it's relevant that some brain processing starts to form before we acquire language? Most people vocalize their thoughts, even though you might not (and I don't always either). All our intellectual skills are acquired through language.

                            What an LLM is, is a "thinking engine". That's what the training creates. That "thinking" can then be applied to different subjects, with a rudimentary form of working memory.

                            The big surprise to those developing LLMs was that the technology suddenly created emergent effects not foreseen from their basic architecture - the ability to _reason_ and _create world models_. If you're still in 2022 and don't think that this is what they do then maybe you need to get off the "stochastic parrot" bandwagon and update your own knowledge?

                            After all - humans don't do anything but map inputs to outputs through neural networks either.

                            @devsimsek

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                            #109

                            @troed @devsimsek

                            The fact that we learn before acquiring language is itself a demonstration of the fact that mammalian thought and reasoning, and human thought and reasoning, is fundamentally not based on language. Your argument is disproving your point.

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                              @troed @devsimsek

                              The fact that we learn before acquiring language is itself a demonstration of the fact that mammalian thought and reasoning, and human thought and reasoning, is fundamentally not based on language. Your argument is disproving your point.

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                              #110

                              @resuna

                              You're debating a strawman. Try debating something I've actually written instead?

                              @devsimsek

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                                @resuna

                                You're debating a strawman. Try debating something I've actually written instead?

                                @devsimsek

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                                #111

                                @troed @devsimsek what you have actually written is based on a category error. You're confusing the platform, neurons, with the software.

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                                  @troed @devsimsek what you have actually written is based on a category error. You're confusing the platform, neurons, with the software.

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                                  #112

                                  @resuna

                                  Wouldn't it be prudent if you learnt anything about the subject first?

                                  Here - I'll help: One of the better books on the subject is "Consciousness: An Introduction" by Susan Blackmore.

                                  I read it 15 years ago. That you believe there's a "platform" and "software" means you have no idea how human cognition works.

                                  @devsimsek

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                                    @resuna

                                    Wouldn't it be prudent if you learnt anything about the subject first?

                                    Here - I'll help: One of the better books on the subject is "Consciousness: An Introduction" by Susan Blackmore.

                                    I read it 15 years ago. That you believe there's a "platform" and "software" means you have no idea how human cognition works.

                                    @devsimsek

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                                    #113

                                    @troed @devsimsek

                                    I have been following this approach since the first steps in the '80s. I'm pretty clear on how it works.

                                    Software is a metaphor, the connectome is obviously a different kind of construct than procedural code, but it is the connections, not the fact that it is built out of neurons, that determines the kind of reasoning and model construction that the human brain performs. You are looking at the implementation and ignoring the big picture.

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                                      @troed @devsimsek

                                      I have been following this approach since the first steps in the '80s. I'm pretty clear on how it works.

                                      Software is a metaphor, the connectome is obviously a different kind of construct than procedural code, but it is the connections, not the fact that it is built out of neurons, that determines the kind of reasoning and model construction that the human brain performs. You are looking at the implementation and ignoring the big picture.

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                                      #114

                                      @resuna

                                      Here - read a scientific paper:

                                      "Our findings reveal reasoning-like mechanisms within the LLM's layers that operate across structurally similar tasks. Crucially, these mechanisms remain stable despite variations in input and output data, suggesting the existence of internal processes that transcend basic language processing."

                                      There's no hardware and software in humans. The hardware and the software are one and the same.

                                      https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2949882126000010

                                      @devsimsek

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                                        @resuna

                                        Here - read a scientific paper:

                                        "Our findings reveal reasoning-like mechanisms within the LLM's layers that operate across structurally similar tasks. Crucially, these mechanisms remain stable despite variations in input and output data, suggesting the existence of internal processes that transcend basic language processing."

                                        There's no hardware and software in humans. The hardware and the software are one and the same.

                                        https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2949882126000010

                                        @devsimsek

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                                        #115

                                        @troed @devsimsek

                                        All the "internal processes" are linguistic, and not even sophisticated linguistic processing, anything else is hallucinated by the researchers fooled by the "clever hans" effect.

                                        All mammals have basically the same hardware. All behavioral differences are due to differences in the size and arrangement of the connections between the neurons.

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                                          @troed @devsimsek

                                          All the "internal processes" are linguistic, and not even sophisticated linguistic processing, anything else is hallucinated by the researchers fooled by the "clever hans" effect.

                                          All mammals have basically the same hardware. All behavioral differences are due to differences in the size and arrangement of the connections between the neurons.

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                                          #116

                                          @resuna

                                          Your argument is "when my gut feeling doesn't agree with science I trust my gut feeling"?

                                          I mean. That's a choice.

                                          @devsimsek

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