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  3. Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

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machinelearningllmresearch
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  • ? Gast

    @troed @devsimsek

    Most human cognition is common to all mammals, even most of the frontal lobe is pre-linguistic. LLMs are ONLY linguistic. They are a clever hack repurposing a 1950s ERA model of how the visual cortex works to simulate the barest parody of linguistic processing. At the best you can say that they are implemented on something like a similar kind of processor, but the software, the neural connections and weights, is completely unrelated.

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    schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
    #107

    @troed @devsimsek you might as well argue that a large language model and an operating system is the same thing because they're both running on Intel processors.

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    • ? Gast

      @troed @devsimsek

      Most human cognition is common to all mammals, even most of the frontal lobe is pre-linguistic. LLMs are ONLY linguistic. They are a clever hack repurposing a 1950s ERA model of how the visual cortex works to simulate the barest parody of linguistic processing. At the best you can say that they are implemented on something like a similar kind of processor, but the software, the neural connections and weights, is completely unrelated.

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      schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
      #108

      @resuna

      Yeah, so why do you think it's relevant that some brain processing starts to form before we acquire language? Most people vocalize their thoughts, even though you might not (and I don't always either). All our intellectual skills are acquired through language.

      What an LLM is, is a "thinking engine". That's what the training creates. That "thinking" can then be applied to different subjects, with a rudimentary form of working memory.

      The big surprise to those developing LLMs was that the technology suddenly created emergent effects not foreseen from their basic architecture - the ability to _reason_ and _create world models_. If you're still in 2022 and don't think that this is what they do then maybe you need to get off the "stochastic parrot" bandwagon and update your own knowledge?

      After all - humans don't do anything but map inputs to outputs through neural networks either.

      @devsimsek

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      • ? Gast

        @resuna

        Yeah, so why do you think it's relevant that some brain processing starts to form before we acquire language? Most people vocalize their thoughts, even though you might not (and I don't always either). All our intellectual skills are acquired through language.

        What an LLM is, is a "thinking engine". That's what the training creates. That "thinking" can then be applied to different subjects, with a rudimentary form of working memory.

        The big surprise to those developing LLMs was that the technology suddenly created emergent effects not foreseen from their basic architecture - the ability to _reason_ and _create world models_. If you're still in 2022 and don't think that this is what they do then maybe you need to get off the "stochastic parrot" bandwagon and update your own knowledge?

        After all - humans don't do anything but map inputs to outputs through neural networks either.

        @devsimsek

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        schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
        #109

        @troed @devsimsek

        The fact that we learn before acquiring language is itself a demonstration of the fact that mammalian thought and reasoning, and human thought and reasoning, is fundamentally not based on language. Your argument is disproving your point.

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        • ? Gast

          @troed @devsimsek

          The fact that we learn before acquiring language is itself a demonstration of the fact that mammalian thought and reasoning, and human thought and reasoning, is fundamentally not based on language. Your argument is disproving your point.

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          schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
          #110

          @resuna

          You're debating a strawman. Try debating something I've actually written instead?

          @devsimsek

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          • ? Gast

            @resuna

            You're debating a strawman. Try debating something I've actually written instead?

            @devsimsek

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            schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
            #111

            @troed @devsimsek what you have actually written is based on a category error. You're confusing the platform, neurons, with the software.

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            • ? Gast

              @troed @devsimsek what you have actually written is based on a category error. You're confusing the platform, neurons, with the software.

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              schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
              #112

              @resuna

              Wouldn't it be prudent if you learnt anything about the subject first?

              Here - I'll help: One of the better books on the subject is "Consciousness: An Introduction" by Susan Blackmore.

              I read it 15 years ago. That you believe there's a "platform" and "software" means you have no idea how human cognition works.

              @devsimsek

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              • ? Gast

                @resuna

                Wouldn't it be prudent if you learnt anything about the subject first?

                Here - I'll help: One of the better books on the subject is "Consciousness: An Introduction" by Susan Blackmore.

                I read it 15 years ago. That you believe there's a "platform" and "software" means you have no idea how human cognition works.

                @devsimsek

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                schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                #113

                @troed @devsimsek

                I have been following this approach since the first steps in the '80s. I'm pretty clear on how it works.

                Software is a metaphor, the connectome is obviously a different kind of construct than procedural code, but it is the connections, not the fact that it is built out of neurons, that determines the kind of reasoning and model construction that the human brain performs. You are looking at the implementation and ignoring the big picture.

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                • ? Gast

                  @troed @devsimsek

                  I have been following this approach since the first steps in the '80s. I'm pretty clear on how it works.

                  Software is a metaphor, the connectome is obviously a different kind of construct than procedural code, but it is the connections, not the fact that it is built out of neurons, that determines the kind of reasoning and model construction that the human brain performs. You are looking at the implementation and ignoring the big picture.

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                  schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                  #114

                  @resuna

                  Here - read a scientific paper:

                  "Our findings reveal reasoning-like mechanisms within the LLM's layers that operate across structurally similar tasks. Crucially, these mechanisms remain stable despite variations in input and output data, suggesting the existence of internal processes that transcend basic language processing."

                  There's no hardware and software in humans. The hardware and the software are one and the same.

                  https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2949882126000010

                  @devsimsek

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                  • ? Gast

                    @resuna

                    Here - read a scientific paper:

                    "Our findings reveal reasoning-like mechanisms within the LLM's layers that operate across structurally similar tasks. Crucially, these mechanisms remain stable despite variations in input and output data, suggesting the existence of internal processes that transcend basic language processing."

                    There's no hardware and software in humans. The hardware and the software are one and the same.

                    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2949882126000010

                    @devsimsek

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                    schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                    #115

                    @troed @devsimsek

                    All the "internal processes" are linguistic, and not even sophisticated linguistic processing, anything else is hallucinated by the researchers fooled by the "clever hans" effect.

                    All mammals have basically the same hardware. All behavioral differences are due to differences in the size and arrangement of the connections between the neurons.

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                    • ? Gast

                      @troed @devsimsek

                      All the "internal processes" are linguistic, and not even sophisticated linguistic processing, anything else is hallucinated by the researchers fooled by the "clever hans" effect.

                      All mammals have basically the same hardware. All behavioral differences are due to differences in the size and arrangement of the connections between the neurons.

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                      schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                      #116

                      @resuna

                      Your argument is "when my gut feeling doesn't agree with science I trust my gut feeling"?

                      I mean. That's a choice.

                      @devsimsek

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                      • ? Gast

                        @resuna

                        Your argument is "when my gut feeling doesn't agree with science I trust my gut feeling"?

                        I mean. That's a choice.

                        @devsimsek

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                        schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                        #117

                        @troed @devsimsek

                        Ah, abuse. It always comes down to abuse.

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                        • ? Gast

                          @troed @devsimsek

                          Ah, abuse. It always comes down to abuse.

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                          schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                          #118

                          @resuna

                          I'm sorry, did I hurt your feels by pointing out that you're choosing emotions over facts?

                          @devsimsek

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                          • ? Gast

                            @resuna

                            I'm sorry, did I hurt your feels by pointing out that you're choosing emotions over facts?

                            @devsimsek

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                            schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                            #119

                            @troed @devsimsek

                            I'm not going to respond to abuse with my own abuse, no matter how tempted I am.

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                            • devsimsek@universeodon.comD devsimsek@universeodon.com

                              Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

                              Not "we think it's unlikely." Not "it seems hard." Formally proved.

                              The model doesn't climb toward AGI — it slowly forgets what reality looks like. They call it model collapse. The math calls it inevitable.
                              I wrote about it 👇

                              https://smsk.dev/2026/04/26/ai-cannot-self-improve-and-math-behind-proves-it/

                              #AI #MachineLearning #LLM #Research

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                              schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                              #120

                              @devsimsek Hi,
                              I just wanted to ask what the difference between this and fitting a simple regression model on predicted outcomes? I feel the conclusions of this study is pretty obvious even from a simple regression case - or is it not? Why would we expect something different from LLMs?

                              devsimsek@universeodon.comD 1 Antwort Letzte Antwort
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                              • ? Gast

                                @troed @devsimsek

                                I'm not going to respond to abuse with my own abuse, no matter how tempted I am.

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                                schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                                #121

                                @resuna

                                This is "abuse":

                                "anything else is hallucinated by the researchers fooled by [...]"

                                Don't debate subjects you don't understand. Your initial post to me is laughably ignorant and directly contradicted by science:

                                "[LLMs] do not build models or reason about them"

                                @devsimsek

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                                • ? Gast

                                  @resuna

                                  This is "abuse":

                                  "anything else is hallucinated by the researchers fooled by [...]"

                                  Don't debate subjects you don't understand. Your initial post to me is laughably ignorant and directly contradicted by science:

                                  "[LLMs] do not build models or reason about them"

                                  @devsimsek

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                                  schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                                  #122

                                  @troed @devsimsek

                                  What? I didn't even mention or refer to you in the text you quoted.

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                                  • ? Gast

                                    @troed @devsimsek

                                    What? I didn't even mention or refer to you in the text you quoted.

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                                    schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                                    #123

                                    @resuna

                                    Why do you think abuse of others is ok?

                                    @devsimsek

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                                    • ? Offline
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                                      Gast
                                      schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                                      #124

                                      @resuna

                                      Yeah sorry, that doesn't qualify as a loaded question. If you want to play Debate then you need to understand the rules.

                                      @devsimsek

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                                      • ? Gast

                                        @devsimsek Hi,
                                        I just wanted to ask what the difference between this and fitting a simple regression model on predicted outcomes? I feel the conclusions of this study is pretty obvious even from a simple regression case - or is it not? Why would we expect something different from LLMs?

                                        devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                                        devsimsek@universeodon.comD This user is from outside of this forum
                                        devsimsek@universeodon.com
                                        schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                                        #125

                                        @drmambobob hi 🙂
                                        Before I reply completely you must know that I'm not an expert on this topic but just a curious guy.

                                        You made a great remark, it is essentially the same problem scaled up. The obvi part is that you cannot get something from nothing. The main reason I assume the paper authors are talking about it differently with llms is that while a regression model just gets stale, olm goes probabilistic hell. It basically actively deletes its output diversity until it produces a single acceptable response.

                                        I hope this answers your question.

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                                        • devsimsek@universeodon.comD devsimsek@universeodon.com

                                          Researchers just mathematically proved that AI can't recursively self-improve its way to superintelligence.

                                          Not "we think it's unlikely." Not "it seems hard." Formally proved.

                                          The model doesn't climb toward AGI — it slowly forgets what reality looks like. They call it model collapse. The math calls it inevitable.
                                          I wrote about it 👇

                                          https://smsk.dev/2026/04/26/ai-cannot-self-improve-and-math-behind-proves-it/

                                          #AI #MachineLearning #LLM #Research

                                          ? Offline
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                                          schrieb am zuletzt editiert von
                                          #126

                                          @devsimsek 👍

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